Regardless of scenario, earthquakes will continue to occur for days, months, or potentially years to come. Published Jan. 7, 2020 Updated Aug. 7, 2020; The map above shows seismicity (orange circles) and seismic monitoring stations (triangles). Puerto Rico blacked out by strong earthquake 02:34 San Juan — A 6.4-magnitude earthquake struck Puerto Rico before dawn on Tuesday and was followed three hours later by an aftershock measuring 6.0. We will continue to work diligently to provide timely earthquake information -- such as this aftershock duration report -- to help support and protect the local communities of our nation.”. Delta Air Lines is offering a waiver to assist customers who may be impacted due to earthquakes on the island of Puerto Rico. The January 7, 2020, M 6.4 earthquake offshore of southwest Puerto Rico occurred as the result of oblique normal faulting at shallow depth. Applies for tickets issued on or before January 7, 2020. Aftershocks will continue near the mainshock. Es probable que las réplicas futuras se ubiquen donde ya se han producido réplicas, dentro de unos 30 kilómetros (aproximadamente 20 millas) del epicentro del terremoto principal de magnitud 6.4. [54] The Moscoso Building of the Ponce City Hall was also damaged. Using our EQ Report iOS or Android app would even be easier and very informative (links in banner above this text). It is very unlikely the aftershocks will cease completely within the next month. [66] Among damage to infrastructure, the 5.9 aftershock quake the morning of January 11 created a crack in a bridge, and was expected to delay restoration of power. 2021-01-17 00:18:49 UTC 2.7 magnitude, 10 km depth Fuig, Guanica, Puerto Rico 2.7 magnitude earthquake 2021-01-17 00:18:49 UTC at 00:18 January 17, 2021 UTC [58][59], In Ponce both historic and modern buildings were damaged. [10] A 5.9 Mw aftershock on Saturday, January 11, damaged many structures, including several historical buildings as well as modern high-rises in the city of Ponce. Minor earthquake - Guanica, Puerto Rico - January 24, 2020. The rate of aftershocks will continue to decline over time. Scenario One (most likely): 81 percent chance [+5% from yesterday], Scenario Two (less likely): 17 percent chance [-4% from yesterday], Scenario Three (least likely):  2 percent chance [-1% from yesterday]. At the location of this event, the North America plate converges with the Caribbean plate at a rate of about 20 mm/yr towards the west-southwest. [34], By January 14, over 600 soldiers of the Puerto Rico National Guard had set up five tent cities for the homeless, with at least some tents outfitted with air conditioning for the bed-ridden and the elderly, in the towns of Guánica, Yauco, Guayanilla, Peñuelas and Ponce, with facilities for over 3,200 refugees. Often questions arise about the ability of entities covered by the HIPAA – Most important Earthquake … The epicenter of an earthquake that hit Puerto Rico on Jan. 25, 2020, was near the town of Guayanilla. A series of small earthquakes began hitting Puerto Rico on December 28, with the first major quake, at 5.8 magnitude, coming Monday, January 6. The forecasts found in this report can be used to guide public policy decisions or other actions. News Puerto Rico rocked by 5.4 magnitude earthquake. Share via Email. If Yes, tell us by using the I FELT IT form behind the earthquake or at the bottom of this page. Latest earthquakes in Puerto Rico Updated 3 Jan 2021 15:38 GMT - During Jan 2020, Puerto Rico was shaken by 1 quake of magnitude 6.3, 8 quakes between 5.0 and 6.0, 95 quakes between 4.0 and 5.0, 332 quakes between 3.0 and 4.0, and 431 quakes between 2.0 and 3.0. Have you felt the shaking? Travel Alert January 2020: Earthquakes in Puerto Rico. “El USGS y nuestros colaboradores en la Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico comenzaron a instalar estaciones sísmicas adicionales poco después del terremoto principal. [33] On January 12, 2020, Puerto Rico governor Wanda Vázquez Garced made a disbursement of $2 million to each of six municipalities most affected by the quake;[19] the monies came from the Puerto Rico State Emergency Reserve Fund. Since the M 4.7 event, over 400 M 2+ earthquakes have occurred in this region, ten of which were M 4+, including today’s M 6.4 event and yesterday's 5.8 quake. Based on our aftershock forecasts, USGS has modeled three possible scenarios for this earthquake sequence as it evolves over the next month. Dentro del próximo año, hay una probabilidad del 20-30 por ciento de una réplica tan grande como la principal o mayor. Changes in the behavior of the aftershock sequence, including the occurrence of a new large aftershock, could require new estimates. Foreshocks to the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on December 29, 2019, are plotted in green. A house in southern Puerto Rico in the municipality of Guánica that was built upon stilts. Latest earthquake was a 5.8. Latest earthquakes in Puerto Rico Updated 3 Jan 2021 15:38 GMT - During Jan 2020, Puerto Rico was shaken by 1 quake of magnitude 6.3, 8 quakes between 5.0 and 6.0, 95 quakes between 4.0 and 5.0, 332 quakes between 3.0 and 4.0, and 431 quakes between 2.0 and 3.0. – Most important Earthquake … [30] The night after the quake, it was estimated that over 40,000 Ponce residents chose to sleep in their cars instead of their homes out of fear of more quakes. Blanket Waivers for Puerto Rico Earthquakes – January 2020 • Skilled Nursing Facilities 1812(f): This waiver of the requirement for a 3-day prior hospitalization for coverage of a skilled nursing facility stay provides temporary emergency coverage of Skilled Nursing Facility (SNF) services without a … Each symbol represents an earthquake sized by magnitude. Full Title: Communications Status Report for Areas Impacted by Puerto Rico Earthquakes January 10, 2020 Bureau(s): Public Safety and Homeland Security, Media Relations Description: Communications status report for areas impacted by earthquakes in Puerto Rico – Jan. 10, 2020. It is very unlikely the aftershocks will cease completely within the next month. Significant damage is possible. Regardless of scenario, earthquakes will continue to occur for days, months, or potentially years to come. Based on our aftershock forecasts, USGS has modeled three possible scenarios for this earthquake sequence as it evolves over the next month. 30-day aftershock scenarios [English | Spanish], 2020 Southwest Puerto Rico Earthquake Sequence. You can view the aftershock forecast here. La probabilidad anual de una réplica de magnitud 6 o mayor se mantendrá por encima del 25 por ciento durante 3 meses a 3 años. Damaging earthquakes, like the ones in Puerto Rico, can be unsettling, destructive, and often tragic to the communities they affect. Share page. Among these were Catedral de Nuestra Señora de Guadalupe, Museo de la Masacre, Iglesia Evangélica (northwest corner of C. Unión and C. Vives); "La Gloria" store on Paseo Atocha, Hotel Ponce Plaza, Condominium Ponciana on C. Marina, Darlington Building, also on C. Marina. Those parts of the subduction zone not outlined by red are not expected to generate large earthquakes. Additionally, aftershocks continued for days after a 5.9 earthquake occurred on January 11th. At the location of this event, the North America plate converges with the Caribbean plate at a … The columns buckled during the shaking caused by the M 5.8 earthquake just offshore on January 6, 2020. Among bridges damaged were two on PR-127 in Guayanilla, at kilometer markers 9.1 and 10.3.[70]. The USGS aftershock forecast, updated on Jan. 13, indicates the likelihood of a M 6.0 or larger aftershock over the next 7 days is 8 percent [down 3% from yesterday]. 30-Day Aftershock Scenarios (Revised: Jan 15; English | Spanish). [23], The sequence began on December 28, 2019 with a Mw 4.7 earthquake, followed closely by a Mw 5.0 event in the early hours of December 29. The preliminary location of today's 6.4 earthquake is within about 7.5 miles (12 km) of the January 6, 2020, M 5.8 earthquake. Wondering whether it’s too soon to visit Puerto Rico in light of recent events? Puerto Rico lies at the highly oblique convergent boundary between the Caribbean Plate and the North American Plate. The most likely scenario is that aftershocks will continue to decrease in frequency over the next 30 days, with no further earthquakes similarly sized to the M 6.4 that occurred on Jan. 7, 2020 (i.e., will be less than M 6.0). More detailed findings are in bullets below. These scenarios represent what could happen from January 14 to February 14, 2020. This sized earthquake would also trigger its own aftershock sequence, so the rate of small and moderate earthquakes would increase again. A Puerto Rican flag waves on top of a pile of rubble as debris is removed from a main road in Guanica, Puerto Rico, Jan. 8, 2020, one day after the earthquake. [29] The Bernardino Cordero Bernard Vocational High School was also used as a shelter. Los resultados en este informe se basan en el comportamiento actual (a partir del 17 de enero de 2020) de esta secuencia de réplicas y es posible que deba modificarse si ese comportamiento cambia, incluso si ocurre un terremoto más grande. It also became a collection center for items for the earthquake homeless. [+] Puerto Rico on January 6, 2020. [13] The quakes also caused 28 families in Lares to lose their homes. Here is the latest aftershock forecast for the M 6.4 that occurred January 7, 2020. BULLETIN 1 ISSUED: January 7, 2020 10:30 AM ET. At the location of … Historical seismicity in the region can be searched here. The Puerto Rican Government contracted the services of nearly 50 structural engineers to evaluate each public school in the Island for structural stability post-earthquake and to certify them as safe enough to open. Two portable sensors: a strong motion sensor (to record strong shaking that can be felt) and a broadband sensor (to record weak motion for detecting small earthquakes) buried into the ground to detect earthquakes. Ponce is a beautiful coastal city that was once the capital of colonial Puerto Rico. Its magnificent houses and historic buildings, often exceeding 10,000 square feet, survived for centuries but were damaged by the January 2020 … More than two thousand earthquakes hit southern Puerto Rico between late December, 2019 and early January, 2020. This is a classic ‘soft first story’’ building. The current forecast, issued at 15:24 eastern on Jan 7, 2020, estimates that over the next 1 Week there is a 7 percent chance of one or more aftershocks that are larger than magnitude 6.4. The USGS operates a 24/7 National Earthquake Information Center in Colorado that can be reached for more information at 303-273-8500. Many of these earthquakes were magnitude 4+, including a 5.8 on January 6th and a 6.4 on January 7th — the most damaging earthquake to Puerto Rico in over a century. This is a heavily populated area. Puerto Rico Earthquakes & HIPAA Bulletin: January 2020 Limited Waiver of HIPAA Sanctions and Penalties During a Declared Emergency Severe disasters – such as the earthquakes in Puerto Rico – impose additional challenges on health care providers. Jan 7 08:32: Magnitude recalculated from 6.7 to 6.6. January 7, 2020 Acting FEMA Administrator Pete Gaynor has been in constant communication and coordination with Puerto Rico Governor Wanda Vazquez. The report forecasts aftershock duration potential for up to ten years after the magnitude 6.4 mainshock in southwestern Puerto Rico. Magnitude 3 and above events are large enough to be felt near the epicenter. The USGS aftershock forecast indicates there is a 3 percent chance of a magnitude 6.4 or larger aftershock over the next 7 days. The USGS aftershock forecast indicates there is a 3% chance of a magnitude 6.4 or larger aftershock over the next 7 days. These scenarios represent what could happen from January 18 to February 18, 2020. The day of the main quake, January 7, Puerto Rico governor Wanda Vázquez Garced declared a state of emergency and activated the Puerto Rico National Guard and the Puerto Rico State Guard. To the south of Puerto Rico the microplate is being thrust southwards over the Caribbean Plate along the Muertos Thrust system. Since the M 4.7 event on December 28, 2019, over 500 M 2+ earthquakes have occurred in this region (as of 2PM EST, 01/07/20), 32 of which were M 4+, including the January 6th M 5.8 and the M 6.4 event on January 7th and its aftershocks. This sequence began with a M 4.7 earthquake late on December 28 and a M 5.0 event a few hours later. Puerto Rico blacked out by strong earthquake 02:34 San Juan — A 6.4-magnitude earthquake struck Puerto Rico before dawn on Tuesday and was followed three hours later by an aftershock measuring 6.0. The rate of aftershocks will continue to decline over time. NBC News' Nicole Acevedo has details. The magnitude 5.0 earthquake on December 29, 2019, and its aftershocks are plotted The Mw 6.4 event had a focal mechanism consistent with normal faulting on a fault trending WSW-ENE. The earthquake, Puerto Rico’s strongest since 1918 leveled buildings and killed at least one man. 30-Day Aftershock Scenarios (Revised: Jan 11; Spanish-language version). Los hallazgos más importantes del informe incluyen: New Top Story: As Aftershocks Continue in Puerto Rico, USGS Supports Quake Recovery. The January 6 earthquake, and other recent nearby events, are occurring in the offshore deformation zone bound by the Punta Montalva Fault on land and the Guayanilla Canyon offshore. Only one of these scenarios will occur. Ricardo Arduengo / AFP - Getty Images Puerto … 9 January 2020. These scenarios represent what could happen from January 17 to February 17, 2020. - A 5.8-magnitude earthquake shook Puerto Rico on January 6, 2020, toppling some structures and causing power outages and … The earthquakes in these scenarios would occur in the areas near where aftershocks are happening now. [76][77][78], On January 10, USGS and Puerto Rico Seismic Network (PRSN) scientists were working to install six sets of temporary seismometers near the southern coast to augment the existing PRSN instruments. The forecast for Jan. 10 indicates the likelihood of large magnitude aftershocks continues to decrease as we move further away from the Jan. 7, 2020, M 6.4 earthquake. A Puerto Rican flag waves on top of a pile of rubble as debris is removed from a main road in Guanica, Puerto Rico on January 8, 2020, one day after an earthquake. One person died, … This photo was taken in Ridgecrest, CA. Only one of these scenarios will occur. Estimates for other magnitude ranges and time periods can be found in the forecast. In InSights Comments 0. Earthquake forecasts are created using a statistical analysis based on past earthquakes and are presented in terms of probabilities of earthquakes of a given size occurring. The January 6, 2020, M 5.8 earthquake offshore of southwest Puerto Rico occurred as the result of oblique strike slip faulting at shallow depth. Scenario Two (less likely): 16 percent chance [-5% from yesterday], Scenario Three (least likely):  3 percent chance [0% from yesterday]. On the upper slope and shelf the current style of faulting is extensional with a series of WSW-ENE trending normal faults, such as the Ponce Fault and the Bajo Tasmanian Fault. Smaller magnitude earthquakes (M 3.0+), when at shallow depth, may be felt by people close to the epicenters. The arrow at the top right corner shows the direction of the North American plate motion relative to the Caribbean plate. Video titulado “Puerto Rico Earthquake Swarm: December 2019 – January 2020” producido por el Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PacificTWC) y publicado en su canal de YouTube el 2 de febrero de 2020. A much less likely scenario than the previous two scenarios is that recent earthquakes could trigger an earthquake significantly larger than the M 6.4 that occurred Jan. 7, 2020 (i.e., M 7.0 and above). Shall we cancel? For estimates of casualties and damage, visit the USGS Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) website. image caption The earthquake was the worst to hit the island in more than 100 years. Office of Communications and Publishing12201 Sunrise Valley DriveReston, VA 20192United StatesPhone: 703-648-4460. , USGS has modeled three possible scenarios for this earthquake sequence as it evolves over the next month. The temporary seismometers will supplement information on real-time earth movement already being collected by the PRSN, a permanent array of instruments in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. About 7,500 people have left their homes for other kinds of shelter, including, in some cases, cars and tents. [30] "More than 250,000" residents island-wide were left without water and another half a million had no power. image copyright AFP. The earthquakes in these scenarios would occur in the areas near where aftershocks are happening now. The event occured within the Network of the Americas (NOTA) footprint. These stations can be quickly deployed and send real-time data back to the USGS via cellular telemetry immediately after they are installed. There were more than 3,000 quakes within about 20 miles of the epicenter of Puerto Rico’s quake in January alone, according to the Puerto Rico Seismic Network. Only one of these scenarios will occur. The US Geological Survey said the recent earthquake was an aftershock of a 6.4-magnitude tremor that struck Puerto Rico in January. Los cambios en el comportamiento de la secuencia de réplicas, incluida la aparición de una nueva réplica grande, podrían requerir nuevos estimados. A car is crushed under a home that collapsed after the previous day's magnitude 6.4 earthquake in Yauco, Puerto Rico, Jan. 8, 2020. Scenario Two (less likely): 18 percent chance [same as yesterday]. Only one of these scenarios will occur. Using our EQ Report iOS or Android … Scenario One (most likely): 79 percent chance [same as yesterday], Earthquakes detected between December 28, 2019 as of January 16, 2020. The USGS aftershock forecast, updated on Jan. 11, indicates the likelihood of a M 6.0 or larger aftershock over the next 7 days is 12 percent. It is very unlikely the aftershocks will cease completely within the next month. It is very unlikely the aftershocks will cease completely within the next month. Over the next 7 days there is now only a 3 percent chance of one or more aftershocks larger than M 6.4. Based on our aftershock forecasts, USGS has modeled three possible scenarios for this earthquake sequence as it evolves over the next month. The study results do not imply a change in the risk of earthquakes in other parts of Puerto Rico. The damages forced the closing of several downtown streets. Januar 2020 08:24 UTC Magnitude: 6.3 Tiefe: 10.0 km Epizentrum … Las réplicas discutidas en este informe se ubicarían en la misma área general que las réplicas que ya han ocurrido. The seismometers -- solar-powered and ready to travel in suitcase-sized kits -- were sent from the USGS’ Albuquerque Seismological Laboratory to Puerto Rico on January 7, the same day a magnitude 6.4 earthquake struck the southwest part of the island, causing extensive damage. Las personas en el área afectada por las réplicas pueden sentir diariamente temblores de magnitud 3 durante los próximos 2 a 6 meses. To the north of Puerto Rico, North America subducts beneath the Caribbean plate along the Puerto Rico trench. The rate of aftershocks will continue to decline over time. The earthquakes in these scenarios would occur in the areas near where aftershocks are happening now. Its magnificent houses and historic buildings, often exceeding 10,000 square feet, survived for centuries but were damaged by the January 2020 magnitude-6.4 earthquake. Some power outages were also reported. Scenario One (most likely):  84 percent within the next 30 days, Scenario Two (less likely): 14 percent within the next 30 days, Scenario Three (least likely):  2 percent within the next 30 days. The largest and most damaging of this sequence was a magnitude 6.4 Mw, which occurred on January 7 at 04:24 AST (08:24 UTC), with a maximum felt intensity of VII (Very strong) on the Modified Mercalli intensity scale. Fault traces are shown as lines with the following descriptions: barbed=thrust fault; solid=strike-slip fault with arrows showing relative direction of motion; black and white=normal fault. Issued On: DL 006 Ticket Stock There is also a high likelihood of M 3.0+ aftershocks in the coming week; these M 3.0+ quakes may be felt near the epicenters. This is called a “doublet”: when two large earthquakes of similar size occur closely in time and location. The rate of aftershocks will decline over time, but a large aftershock can increase the numbers again, temporarily. Each earthquake from December 29, 2019, through the end of January 22, 2020 (UTC), is plotted as a circle on the map. Several earthquakes of M <5 occurred over the next few days, followed by a Mw 5.8 event at 10:32 UTC on January 6. Photo: Arduengo/Getty Images San Juan was plunged in darkness after a 6.4 magnitude earthquake rattled Puerto Rico early on 7 January, 2020, leaving the island largely without power. According to the U.S. Geological Survey, over 300 earthquakes have struck the island’s southwestern coast since December 2019, from magnitude 3.0 shakes to a major 6.4 earthquake on January 7, 2020 – the largest to hit in a century. [11], Power was lost Island-wide immediately after the quake, and was increasingly restored over a period of a week. News Puerto Rico rocked by 5.4 magnitude earthquake. Preliminary focal mechanism solutions for the earthquake indicate faulting occurred as the result of slip on either a steeply dipping plane striking just north of west, or on a steeply dipping plane striking just west of south. A less likely scenario is an earthquake occurring of similar size as the M 6.4 event. Additionally, earthquakes will likely be felt on a daily basis for several more months. Seismic stations that have been recently upgraded are emphasized in red. Have you felt the shaking? The figure above shows the distribution of seismicity southwest of Puerto Rico in December 2019 and January 2020. [20] The government set up a central command center, where all pertinent state and municipal dependencies supporting the relief effort were to set up base and coordinate activities at the Polydeportivo Frankie Colon in Urbanización Los Caobos, Barrio Bucaná, Ponce. It is highly likely that there will be many smaller earthquakes (M>3) over the next 1 Week. 30-Day Aftershock Scenarios (Revised: Jan 12; English | Spanish). [64] Financial losses were calculated at $3.1 billion US dollars. The NOAA Tsunami Warning System states no tsunami warning or advisory. [60] Guanica[61] and Yauco[62] were particularly impacted. A large aftershock or new mainshock would, once again, increase the frequency and magnitude of aftershocks. Strong mag. Starting on December 28, 2019,[4] and progressing into 2021, the southwestern part of the island of Puerto Rico was struck by an earthquake swarm,[5] including 11 that were of magnitude 5 or greater. [28] The parking lot at Auditorio Juan Pachin Vicens was also used as a meeting site. January 24, 2020 by Armand Vervaeck. (Eric Rojas / Getty Images) “Puerto Rico’s recent large earthquake and its aftershocks were destructive and unsettling to people on the island,” said USGS Director Jim Reilly. Se espera que la tasa de réplicas disminuya, pero aún pueden sentir tales temblores semanalmente entre 1.5 años y una década. [12] There were refugees in 28 government-sponsored refugee centers spread over 14 municipalities of southern and central Puerto Rico. About sharing. Magnitude 3 and above events are large enough to be felt near the epicenter. On January 7, 2020, a 6.4 magnitude earthquake struck the island of Puerto Rico, with aftershocks still rocking the island. [39] By January 10, two additional people had died of medical conditions attributed to the effects of the earthquakes. Jan. 2020 . The Guanica lighthouse was among the buildings in that town with particular damage. USGS Jan. 25, 2020, 9:54 PM UTC / Updated Jan. 25, 2020, 10:37 PM UTC Estimates for other magnitude ranges and time periods can be found in the forecast. Earthquake symbols are sized by magnitude and colored according to the time of the earthquake relative to December 28, 2019. Observations from seismic monitoring equipment will improve our ability to characterize and forecast earthquakes which will help protect lives and property. [16] The White House also approved $5 million in federal emergency relief. Links to forecasts and scenerios (below) will continue to be updated, however, text in this story will not be updated unless there is significant change to the aftershock behavior or to the USGS response to the earthquake. The January 6 and 7, 2020, M 5.8 and M 6.4 earthquakes offshore of southwest Puerto Rico occurred as the result of oblique strike slip faulting at shallow depth. This earthquake sequence is consistent with expectations of seismicity in the region. Photo (L-R) Jose Cancel of Puerto Rico Seismic Network (PRSN), Alena Leeds of USGS and Javier Santiago of PRSN install a temporary seismometer at Sabana Yeguas in southwestern Puerto Rico on Jan. 10, 2020. This earthquake could cause additional damage in the same region and increases the number of aftershocks. People in the area affected by the aftershocks may feel shaking from magnitude 3 aftershocks on a daily basis for the next 2 to 6 months. Regardless of scenario, earthquakes will continue to occur for days, months, or potentially years to come. Estimates for other magnitude ranges and time periods can be found in the forecast. It is highly likely that there will be many smaller earthquakes (M>3) over the next 1 Week. "El reciente gran terremoto de Puerto Rico y sus réplicas fueron destructivas e inquietantes para la gente en la isla", dijo el director del USGS Jim Reilly. All red stars with a date before the 20th century show the intensity center (MI) for that earthquake. [44] A 15 January 2020 register of homes rendered uninhabitable listed at least 789 properties. (Credit: Donyelle Davis, USGS. January 7, 2020. Historically the region has seen moderate seismicity, but Puerto Rico is tectonically active, and infrequent naturally occurring large earthquakes are expected. [5] By 14 January 2020, the vice-mayor of Ponce estimated the cost of the damages so far in her town, one of the towns most severely hit, at $1 billion. [47][48][49], The January 7 quake destroyed numerous structures, including the Agripina Seda elementary school in Guánica[50] and the Inmaculada Concepción Church in Guayanilla. Regardless of scenario, earthquakes will continue to occur for days, months, or potentially years to come. Scenario One (most likely): 76 percent chance, Scenario Two (less likely): 21 percent chance, Scenario Three (least likely):  3 percent chance. 6.4 Earthquake Hits Puerto Rico on 2nd Day of Strong Temblors; at Least 1 Killed January 7, 2020, ktla.com A 6.4 magnitude earthquake jolted southern Puerto Rico on Tuesday morning, killing at leas… [19] Another estimate out the number of refugees at 5,000. It is very unlikely the aftershocks will cease completely within the next month. The earthquakes in these scenarios would occur in the areas near where aftershocks are happening now. More than 8,000 houses have been damaged. Datum & Zeit: Dienstag, 7. While this is a small probability, if such an earthquake were to occur, it would have serious impacts on communities nearby. 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